Cost Benefit Analysis

Redeploy Illinois 2011 Annual Report - Cost Benefit Analysis


The Redeploy Illinois program saves the State far more than the $2.4 million annual appropriation. In the six years since the program's inception, participating counties sent 854 juveniles to state prisons. This is a steep decline from the projected 1,737 that were likely to have been sent to prison, based on the previous three-year trend; it represents a 51% reduction in commitments. Given the current $86,861 annual cost to keep a juvenile in a State prison, the savings to state taxpayers are considerable.

  • In the past six years since the program's inception, Redeploy Illinois sites have reduced commitments to DJJ by an average of 51%. By avoiding commitments to a projected 886 youth in Redeploy counties, the State has averted more than $40 million in incarceration costs.

In Fiscal Year 2005, when the program began, the per capita cost for a 12-month juvenile commitment was $70,827. The average length of stay for a delinquency commitment was 8.8 months ($51,940) and the average length of stay for a court evaluation commitment was 3.5 months ($20,658). Since 2005, the cost of commitment has increased yearly to $86,861 in 2012.1 However; the most current cost data published by the Department of Juvenile Justice reflects 2005 expenses. The cost analysis below reflects the 2005 cost information and average lengths of stay by commitment type. Therefore, the analysis below represents a conservative estimate of savings.

Analysis Methodology

The methodology for calculating the cost avoidance of Redeploy involved several steps:

  1. Compare the baseline eligible commitment number to the observed number of eligible commitments for a given year. The baseline is the average number of eligible commitments reported for a site during the years preceding the award of a Redeploy grant. There is one exception, St. Clair County, for two baselines reused. Because St. Clair County experienced a 150% increase in eligible commitments from 2001 to 2004, the Redeploy Illinois Oversight Board (RIOB allowed St. Clair County to use the single preceding year (2004) as its initial baseline (86 commitments). Beginning in the 3rd year of implementation, the RIOB adjusted the baseline to be the average number of eligible commitments for 2003-2005 (74 commitments). The difference between the baseline and eligible commitments for a given year are considered to be youth who have been diverted from commitment or Redeployed.
  2. Determine among Redeployed youth the number that would have been committed for evaluation and full commitment. According to IDJJ (2005), nine percent of new admissions are for a court evaluation. Therefore, the factors of .09 and .91 were applied to the number of Redeployed youth.
  3. The costs associated with commitment were then applied to the number of redeployed youth. The average length of stay for a delinquency commitment was 8.8 months ($51,940) and the average length of stay for a court evaluation commitment was 3.5 months ($20,658).

2nd Judicial Circuit

Since January 2005, the 2nd Judicial Circuit has redeployed 123 youth. The cost avoidance of diverting these youth from a court evaluation or full-commitment was over $6 million. Table 8, below, presents the performance of the 2nd Circuit.

TABLE 8: Cost Avoidance resulting from Redeploy Illinois, by Year - 2nd Judicial Circuit

Program Period

Eligible

Commitments

Percent

Reduction from

Baseline

Number

Redeployed

Cost Avoidance

Year One

1/1/05 - 12/31/05

22 45% 18 $  884,243

Year Two

1/1/06 - 12/31/06

30 25% 10 $  491,246

Year Three

1/1/07 - 12/31/07

20 50% 20 $  976,236

Year Four

1/1/08 - 12/31/08

15 63% 25 $1,228,116

Year Five

1/1/09 - 12/31/09

12 70% 28 $1,375,489

Year Six

1/1/10 - 12/31/10

18 55% 22 $1,080,742
6 Year Figures

117 Youth

Incarcerated

51%

123 Fewer Youth

Incarcerated

$6,036,072

Note:  Baseline number of eligible commitments = 40

Macon County

Since January 2005, Macon County has redeployed 155 youth. The cost avoidance of diverting these youth from a court evaluation or full-commitment was $7.6 million. Table 9 presents the performance of Macon County.

TABLE 9:  Cost Avoidance Resulting from Redeploy Illinois, by Year - Macon County

Program Period

Eligible

Commitments

Percent

Reduction from

Baseline

Number

Redeployed

Cost Avoidance

Year One

1/1/05 - 12/31/05

30 41% 21 $1,031,617

Year Two

1/1/06 - 12/31/06

12 76% 39 $1,915,861

Year Three

1/1/07 - 12/31/07

18 65% 33 $1,620,174

Year Four

1/1/08 - 12/31/08

23 55% 28 $1,375,489

Year Five

1/1/09 - 12/31/09

32 37% 19 $  933,367

Year Six

1/1/10 - 12/31/10

36 29% 15 $  736,869
6 Year Figures

151 Youth

Incarcerated

51%

155 Fewer Youth

Incarcerated

$7,613,377

Note:  Baseline number of eligible commitments = 51

Peoria County

Since July 2005, Peoria County has redeployed 165 youth. The cost avoidance of diverting these youth from a court evaluation or full commitment was over 8 million. Table 10 presents the performance of Peoria County.

TABLE 10: Cost Avoidance Resulting from Redeploy Illinois, by Year - Peoria County

Program Period

Eligible

Commitments

Percent

Reduction from

Baseline

Number

Redeployed

Cost Avoidance

Year One

1/1/05 - 12/31/05

48 39% 30 $1,473,739

Year Two

1/1/06 - 12/31/06

49 37% 29 $1,412,414

Year Three

1/1/07 - 12/31/07

49 37% 29 $1,412,414

Year Four

1/1/08 - 12/31/08

60 23% 18 $  884,243

Year Five

1/1/09 - 12/31/09

42 46% 36 $1,768,486

Year Six

1/1/10 - 12/31/10

55 30% 23 $1,129,866
6 Year Figures

303 Youth

Incarcerated

35%

165 Fewer Youth

Incarcerated

$8,081,162

Note:  Baseline number of eligible commitments = 78

St. Clair County

Since July 2005, St. Clair County redeployed 342 youth. The cost avoidance of diverting these youth from a court evaluation or full commitment was $13.6 million. Table 11 presents the performance of St. Clair County.

TABLE 11: Cost Avoidance Resulting from Redeploy Illinois, by Year - St. Clair County

Program Period

Eligible

Commitments

Percent

Reduction from

Baseline

Number

Redeployed

Cost Avoidance

Year One

1/1/05 - 12/31/05

62 28% 24 $1,178,991

Year Two

1/1/06 - 12/31/06

20 77% 66 $3,240,348

Year Three

1/1/07 - 12/31/07

11 85% 63 $3,094,851

Year Four

1/1/08 - 12/31/08

10 86% 64 $3,143,975

Year Five

1/1/09 - 12/31/09

13 82% 61 $2,996,601

Year Six

1/1/10 - 12/31/10

10 86% 64 $3,143,975
6 Year Figures

126 Youth

Incarcerated

73%

342 Fewer Youth

Incarcerated

$13,654,766

Note:  Baseline for years one and two = 86 and for year three and beyond = 74

Lee County

Since January 2009, Lee County has redeployed 20 youth. The cost avoidance of diverting these youth from a court evaluation or full-commitment was $982,492. Table 12, below, presents the performance of Lee County.

TABLE 12: Cost Avoidance Resulting from Redeploy Illinois, by Year - Lee County

Program Period

Eligible

Commitments

Percent

Reduction from

Baseline

Number

Redeployed

Cost Avoidance

Year One

1/1/05 - 12/31/05

1 91% 10 $491,246

Year Two

1/1/06 - 12/31/06

1 91% 10 $491,246
2 Year Figures

2 Youth

Incarcerated

91%

20 Fewer Youth

Incarcerated

$982,492

Note:  Baseline number of eligible commitments = 11

McLean County

Since January 2009, McLean County has redeployed 25 youth. The cost avoidance of diverting these youth from a court evaluation or full-commitment was $1.2 million. Table 13, below, presents the performance of McLean County.

TABLE 13: Cost Avoidance Resulting from Redeploy Illinois, by Year - McLean County

Program Period

Eligible

Commitments

Percent

Reduction from

Baseline

Number

Redeployed

Cost Avoidance

Year One

1/1/05 - 12/31/05

10 57% 13 $  638,620

Year Two

1/1/06 - 12/31/06

11 52% 12 $  589,495
2 Year Figures

21 Youth

Incarcerated

54%

25 Fewer Youth

Incarcerated

$1,228,115

Note:  Baseline number of eligible commitments = 23

Madison County

Since January 2009, Madison County has redeployed 15 youth. The cost avoidance of diverting these youth from a court evaluation or full-commitment was $736, 868. Table 14, below, presents the performance of Madison County.

TABLE 14: Cost Avoidance Resulting from Redeploy Illinois, by Year - Madison County

Program Period

Eligible

Commitments

Percent

Reduction from

Baseline

Number

Redeployed

Cost Avoidance

Year One

1/1/05 - 12/31/05

31 6% 2 $ 98,249

Year Two

1/1/06 - 12/31/06

20 39% 13 $638,619
2 Year Figures

51 Youth

Incarcerated

23%

15 Fewer Youth

Incarcerated

$736,868

Note:  Baseline number of eligible commitments = 33

4th Judicial Circuit

Since January 2009, the 4th Judicial Circuit has redeployed 37 youth. The cost avoidance of diverting these youth from a court evaluation or full-commitment was $1.8 million. Table 15 presents the performance of the 4th Circuit.

TABLE 15: Cost Avoidance Resulting from Redeploy Illinois, by Year - 4th Judicial Circuit

Program Period

Eligible

Commitments

Percent

Reduction from

Baseline

Number

Redeployed

Cost Avoidance

Year One

1/1/05 - 12/31/05

30 35% 16 $ 785,994

Year Two

1/1/06 - 12/31/06

25 46% 21 $1,031,617
2 Year Figures

55 Youth

Incarcerated

40%

37 Fewer Youth

Incarcerated

$1,817,611

Note:  Baseline number of eligible commitments = 46

2010 Redeploy Illinois Cost Analysis

Table 16, below, presents the most recent available year's cost analysis and reduction percentages for each of the Redeploy sites. For St. Clair County and Peoria County, the program period is FY2011; for the remaining sites the program period is CY2010.

During the 2010 program period, 166 youth were committed to IDJJ from Redeploy Illinois counties. According to the previous trend/baseline data, this represents a 53% reduction from the estimated 356 youth who would otherwise have been sent to prison during this period.

TABLE 16: Cost Avoidance Resulting from Redeploy Illinois, by Site - Most Recent Year Available

Site Name

Baseline

Number

Redeploy

Eligible

Commitments

Number

Redeployed

Percent

Reduction

from Baseline

Cost

Avoidance

2nd Circuit 40 18 22 55% $1,080,742
Macon 51 36 15 29% $  736,869
Peoria 78 42 36 46% $1,768,486
St. Clair 74 13 61 82% $2,996,601
Lee 11 1 10 91% $  491,246
McLean 23 11 12 52% $  589,495
Madison 33 20 13 39% $  638,619
4th Circuit 46 25 21 46% $1,031,617
TOTALS 356 166 190 53% $9,333,675

2005-2010 Redeploy Illinois Cost Analysis

Table 17 depicts the overall cost analysis and reduction percentages for each of the Redeploy sites since the program began in 2005. For St. Clair County and for Peoria County the data is reflected through June 30, 2011; for the remaining sites the data is reported through December 31, 2010.

Redeploy Illinois began as a pilot project in four sites and has since expanded to eight sites and 28 counties. The programs have provided individualized intensive services to more than 1,500 youth during this period. Prior to implementation in these counties, on average, 356 youth eligible for Redeploy services were being committed to DJJ each year. Because of Redeploy Illinois, these counties have instead committed 174 youth per year on average since 2005, a 51% reduction from the previous trend.

Table 17 further indicates that an estimated 1,737 youth would have been committed to IDJJ based on the previous trend data. Since implementation began, 85 Redeploy eligible youth were committed to IDJJ from these counties. This represents a 51% reduction or 886 fewer youth being committed to IDJJ, saving Illinois taxpayers an estimated $40 Million in unnecessary incarceration costs.

TABLE 17: Cost Avoidance Resulting from Redeploy Illinois, by Site - 2005-2010

Site Name

Baseline

Number *

Redeploy

Eligible

Commitments

Number

Redeployed

Percent

Reduction

from Baseline

Cost

Avoidance

2nd Circuit 240 117 123 51% $6,036,072
Kankakee 29 25 4 14% $  196,497
Macon 306 151 155 51% $  7,613,377
Peoria 468 303 165 35% $8,081,162
St. Clair 468 126 342 73% $13,654,766
Lee 22 2 20 91% $  982,492
McLean 46 21 25 54% $  1,228,115
Madison 66 51 15 23% $  736,868
4th Circuit 92 55 37 40% $1,817,611
TOTALS 1737 851 886 51% $40,396,056

*Baseline - This figure is calculated as follows:  the individual site baseline number times the number of years of program implementation.

1 Auditor General's Summary Report on the Illinois Department of Juvenile Justice