Date of Completion: 12/09/2015

State: Illinois

Fiscal Year to which credit applies: 2016

Overall Report: Yes

Apply the overall credit to the two-parent participation rate? Yes

Form ACF-202 - TANF Caseload Reduction Report

Fiscal Year to which credit applies:  2016

Apply the overall credit to the two-parent participation rate?  Mark Yes or No

PART 1 - Eligibility Changes Made Since FY 2005

(Complete this section for EACH change)

Two Parent Families Paid With State Only Funds

  1. Name of Eligibility Change:  Two Parent Families Paid With State Only Funds
  2. Implementation date of eligibility change: October 1, 2006
  3. Description of policy, including the change from prior policy:  All two parent families are now paid for out of state only funds (not claimed as MOE) and no longer are included in the participation rate.
  4. Description of the methodology used to calculate the estimated impact of this eligibility change (attach supporting materials to this form): Since the entire universe of two parent cases was shifted to state only funds the actual number of two parent cases were averaged for the year to determine the average monthly impact.
  5. Estimated average monthly impact of this eligibility change on caseload in comparison year:  -1,551

First Time Pregnant Women Paid With State Only funds

  1. Name of eligibility change:  First Time Pregnant Women Paid With State Only funds
  2. Implementation date of eligibility change: October 1, 2006
  3. Description of policy, including the change from prior policy: All cases containing a pregnant woman with no other members are now paid for out of State only funds (not claimed as MOE) and no longer included in the participation rate.
  4. Description of the methodology used to calculate the estimated impact of this eligibility change (attach supporting materials to this form): Since the entire universe of First Time Pregnant Women cases was shifted to state only funds the actual monthly number of First Time Pregnant Women cases was averaged for the year to determine the average monthly impact.
  5. Estimated average monthly impact of this eligibility change on caseload in comparison year: -810

Refugee Cases Paid With State Only Funds

  1. Name of eligibility change:  Refugee Cases Paid With State Only Funds
  2. Implementation date of eligibility change: October 1, 2006
  3. Description of policy, including the change from prior policy: All Refugee cases (single parent cases with an A or Y in the first position of the basic number) are now paid for out of state only funds (not claimed as MOE) and no longer included in the participation rate.
  4. Description of the methodology used to calculate the estimated impact of this eligibility change (attach supporting materials to this form): Since the entire universe of Refugee cases was shifted to state only funds the actual monthly number of Refugee cases were averaged for the year to determine the average monthly impact.
  5. Estimated average monthly impact of this eligibility change on caseload in comparison year: -708

Child Under One Cases Paid With State Only Funds

  1. Name of eligibility change:  Child Under One Cases Paid With State Only Funds
  2. Implementation date of eligibility change: October 1, 2006
  3. Description of policy, including the change from prior policy: All single parent cases containing a Child Under Age One are now paid out of state only funds (not claimed as MOE) and no longer included in the participation rate.
  4. Description of the methodology used to calculate the estimated impact of this eligibility change (attach supporting materials to this form): Since the entire universe of single parent cases with a child under age one was shifted to state only funds the actual monthly number of Child Under One cases were averaged for the year to determine the average monthly impact.
  5. Estimated average monthly impact of this eligibility change on caseload in comparison year: -8,880

Single Parent Families Not In A Countable Activity Paid With State Only Funds

  1. Name of eligibility change:  Single Parent Cases Not In A Countable Activity Paid With State Only Funds
  2. Implementation of date of eligibility change: October 1, 2012
  3. Description of policy, including the change from prior policy: All single parent cases not in a countable activity (unsubsidized work, community service, vocational education, job search, work experience, work first, basic education, postsecondary education) are now paid for out of state only funds (not claimed as MOE) and no longer are included in the participation rate.
  4. Description of the methodology used to calculate the estimated impact of this eligibility change (attach supporting materials to this form): Since the entire universe of single parent cases not in a countable activity was shifted to state only funds the actual number of single parent cases not in a countable activity were averaged for the year to determine the average monthly impact.
  5. Estimated average monthly impact of this eligibility change on caseload in comparison year: -9,662

Caseload Reduction Attributed To Excess MOE Spending

  1. Name of eligibility change:  Caseload Reduction Attributed To Excess MOE Spending
  2. Implementation date of eligibility change: October 1, 2007
  3. Description of policy, including the change from prior policy: Excess MOE that was spent was used to increase the caseload reduction in accordance with TANF rule 261.43(b).
  4. Description of the methodology used to calculate the estimated impact of this eligibility change (attach supporting materials to this form): The methodology is in compliance with the ACF requirements outlined in the Caseload Reduction Credit form Part II.
  5. Estimated average monthly impact of this eligibility change on caseload in comparison year: -4,732

PART 2 - Estimate of Caseload Reduction Credit

Section 1 - Excess MOE Calculation Worksheet FY 2015

  • State: Illinois
  • Fiscal Year to which credit applies:  2016
  • Date of Completion: 12/9/2015

Caseload Data

Overall Caseload Data

Caseloads & Totals Number of Cases
FY 2005 TANF Caseload 38,391
FY 2005 SSP Caseload 878
Total FY2005 Caseload 39,269
FY 2015 TANF Caseload 18,643
FY 2015 SSP Caseload 0
Total FY2015 Caseload 18,643

2-Parent Caseload Data

Caseloads & Totals Number of Cases
FY 2005 2-p TANF Caseload 0
FY 2005 2-p SSP Caseload 0
Total FY2005 Caseload 0
FY 2015 2-p TANF Caseload 0
FY 2015 2-p SSP Caseload 0
Total FY2014 Caseload 0

 Adjusted Caseload Data

Caseloads Number of Cases
Adjusted FY 2015 Overall Caseload 13,911
Adjusted FY 2015 2-parent Caseload 0

Expenditure Data

Total Expenditures

Expenditures Amount of Expenditures
FY 2015 Total Federal Expenditures $585,056,960
FY 2015 Total MOE Expenditures $775,415,981
Total Expenditures (Federal + MOE) $1,360,472,941

 Assistance Expenditures

Expenditures Amount of Expenditures
FY 2015 Federal Expenditures on Assistance $63,498,813
FY 2015 MOE Expenditures on Assistance $4,987,840
Total Expenditures on Assistance (Federal + MOE) $68,486,653
Percentage of Expenditures on Assistance 5.03%

Expenditures Per Case

Expenditures Amount of Expenditures
Average Expenditures per Case $72,975
Average Expenditures per Case on Assistance $3,674

MOE and Excess MOE

Expenditures Amount of Expenditures
Required MOE (80% or 75%) $430,088,193
Excess MOE Expenditures $345,327,788
Excess MOE Expenditures on Assistance $17,383,914

Cases Funded by Excess MOE

Caseloads Number of Cases
Assistance Cases Funded by Excess MOE 4,732
2-Parent Assistance Cases Funded by Excess MOE 0

Section 2 - Estimate of Caseload Reduction Credit

Impact of All Changes
Funds Change in Fund
Two Parent Families Paid With State only Funds -1,551
First Time Pregnant Women Paid With State Only Funds -810
Refugee Cases Paid With State Only Funds -708
Child Under One Cases Paid With State Only Funds -8,880
Single Parent Families Not In A Countable Activity Paid With State Only Funds -9,662
Net Impact -21,611
Caseload Reduction Calculation
Caseloads Number of Cases %
FY 2005 TANF Caseload 38,391
FY 2005 SSP Caseload 878
Total FY 2005 Caseload 39,269
FY 2015 TANF Caseload 18,643
FY 2015 SSP Caseload 0
Total FY 2015 Caseload 18,643
Excess MOE Cases in FY 2015 4,732
Adjusted FY 2015 Caseload 13,911
Caseload Decline 25,358 64.6%
Decline - Net Impact -3,747
Caseload Reduction Credit 9.5%

Section 2 - Estimate of Caseload Reduction Credit - 2-Parent Caseload

Caseload Reduction Calculation
Caseloads Number of Cases %
FY 2005 TANF 2-Parent Caseload
FY 2005 SSP 2-Parent Caseload
Total FY 2005 Caseload 0
FY 2015 TANF 2-Parent Caseload
FY 2015 SSP 2-Parent Caseload
Total FY 2015 2-Parent Caseload 0
Excess MOE 2-Parent Cases in FY 2015 0
Adjusted FY 2015 Caseload 0
Caseload Decline 0 0.0%
Decline - Net Impact 0
2-Parent Caseload Reduction Credit 0.0%

Two Parent Families Paid With State Only Funds Impact on Each Month in FY 2015

FY 2015 Monthly Average: 1,551

Time of Closure
Prior years carryover October November December January February March April May June July August September Grand Total
October 1,582
November 1,607
December 1,600
January 1,634
February 1,587
March 1,591
April 1,545
May 1,539
June 1,500
July 1,497
August 1,476
September 1,453
Total 1,582 1,607 1,600 1,634 1,587 1,591 1,545 1,539 1,500 1,497 1,476 1,453 18,611

First Time Pregnant Women Paid With State Only Funds Impact on Each Month in FY 2015

FY 2015 Monthly Average: 810

Time of Closure
Prior years carryover October November December January February March April May June July August September Grand Total
October 990
November 993
December 1,002
January 935
February 832
March 811
April 697
May 703
June 724
July 712
August 673
September 650
Total 990 993 1,002 935 832 811 697 703 724 712 673 650 9,722

PART 3 - Certification

I certify that we have provided the public an appropriate opportunity to comment on the estimates and methodology used to complete this report and considered those comments in completing it. Further, I certify that this report incorporates all reductions in the caseload resulting from State eligibility changes and changes in Federal requirements since Fiscal Year 2005.

Ken Durst, Chief
Bureau of Program and Performance Management